ACCAspace_sitemap
PPclass_sitemap
sitemap_google
sitemap_baidu
CFA Forums
返回列表 发帖
 

4、Given the following table about employees of a company based on whether they are smokers or nonsmokers and whether or not they suffer from any allergies, what is the probability of both suffering from allergies and not suffering from allergies?

 

Suffer from Allergies

Don't Suffer from Allergies

Total

Smoker

35

25

60

Nonsmoker

55

185

240

Total

90

210

300

A)   0.50.

B)   0.00.

C)   1.00.

D)   0.24.

TOP

 

The correct answer is B

These are mutually exclusive, so the joint probability is zero.

TOP

 

5、The probability of a new Wal-Mart being built in town is 64%. If Wal-Mart comes to town, the probability of a new Wendy’s restaurant being built is 90%. What is the probability of a new Wal-Mart and a new Wendy’s restaurant being built?


A) 0.576.

B) 0.675.

C) 0.240.

D) 0.306.

TOP

 

The correct answer is A

P(AB) = P(A|B) × P(B)

The probability of a new Wal-Mart and a new Wendy’s is equal to the probability of a new Wendy’s “if Wal-Mart” (0.90) times the probability of a new Wal-Mart (0.64). (0.90)(0.64) = 0.576.

TOP

 

6、A two-sided but very thick coin is expected to land on its edge twice out of every 100 flips. And the probability of face up (heads) and the probability of face down (tails) are equal. When the coin is flipped, the prize is $1 for heads, $2 for tails, and $50 when the coin lands on its edge. What is the expected value of the prize on a single coin toss?

A) $17.67.

B) $2.47.

C) $1.50.

D) $26.50.

TOP

 

The correct answer is B

Since the probability of the coin landing on its edge is 0.02, the probability of each of the other two events is 0.49. The expected payoff is: (0.02 × $50) + (0.49 × $1) + (0.49 × $2) = $2.47.

TOP

 

7、The following table summarizes the availability of trucks with air bags and bucket seats at a dealership.

 

Bucket Seats

No Bucket Seats

Total

 Air Bags

75

50

125 

 No Air Bags

35

60

95

 Total

110

110

220

What is the probability of selecting a truck at random that has either air bags or bucket seats?

A)    34%.

B)    73%.

C)   50%.

D)   107%.

TOP

 

The correct answer is Bfficeffice" />

The addition rule for probabilities is used to determine the probability of at least one event among two or more events occurring. The probability of each event is added and the joint probability (if the events are not mutually exclusive) is subtracted to arrive at the solution. P(air bags or bucket seats) = P(air bags) + P(bucket seats) ? P(air bags and bucket seats) = (125 / 220) + (110 / 220) ? (75 / 220) = 0.57 + 0.50 ? 0.34 = 0.73 or 73%.

Alternative: 1 ? P(no airbag and no bucket seats) = 1 ? (60 / 220) = 72.7%

TOP

 

8、If the probability of both a new Wal-Mart and a new Wendy’s being built next month is 68% and the probability of a new Wal-Mart being built is 85%, what is the probability of a new Wendy’s being built if a new Wal-Mart is built?

A) 0.70.

B) 0.80.

C) 0.60.

D) 0.85.

TOP

 

The correct answer is B

P(AB) = P(A|B) × P(B)

0.68 / 0.85 = 0.80

TOP

返回列表